On May 28, the Biden administration released its revenue-raising proposals in the Treasury Department’s General Explanations of the Administration’s Fiscal Year 2022 Revenue Proposals, or what’s more commonly referred to as the “Green Book.” For estate planners, the proposals were interesting both for what was included and what wasn’t. The Biden administration isn’t proposing reducing the estate and gift tax exemption as had been anticipated after the election or for that matter making any changes to the transfer tax regime. However, it’s proposing to make death, lifetime giving and exceeding maximum holding periods for assets in trust recognition events for income tax purposes. If this proposal comes to fruition, gifts and bequests would be subject to not just one tax regime but two, which would have a dramatic impact on estate planning for high-net-worth (HNW) individuals.

President Biden’s primary plan to tax HNW (high net worth) families’ estate-planning structures is by making death, lifetime gifts and exceeding maximum holding periods for assets in trust recognition events for income tax purposes. The resulting income tax would be in addition to the potential gift, estate and generation skipping transfer (GST) taxes that may be imposed. This proposal, while alarming for many, isn’t new.

Originations of Biden’s Green Book proposal’s substance and text can be found in the final two Green Books issued by President Obama. In the 2015 State of the Union Address, President Obama and his team proposed ending what it called the “trust fund loophole,” which is a bit of a misnomer for what it is—generally eliminating step-up in tax basis under Internal Revenue Code Section 1014 for assets included in a decedent’s gross estate. Under the Obama proposals, both lifetime gifts (currently taking a carryover basis under IRC Section 1015) and transfers at death would result in the recognition of gain on appreciated assets. There were certain exceptions to this general rule, such as a $100,000 per person exclusion from capital gains as well as a $250,000 exclusion per person for the gain recognized on the transfer of a principal residence. Further, spouses that received property would have the basis of the donor spouse carried over, and transfers to charity would be exempt from the tax. This proposal also allowed these exclusions to be portable to a surviving spouse in a similar fashion to portability for the federal estate tax exemption.

In March 2021, Senator Van Hollen and others proposed Sensible Taxation and Equity Promotion Act (STEP) of 2021.

The text of the legislation that was released for discussion purposes would treat gifts and death as recognition events. Like the Obama proposal, there was an exclusion of $100,000 for lifetime gifts but a more generous $1 million exclusion for transfers at death. The legislation also introduced some proposals not found in the Obama proposals. One is the introduction of a deemed recognition event every 21 years for assets held in nongrantor trusts. Another was burdensome reporting requirements that would require all trusts with more than $1 million of assets or $20,000 of income to provide not only a balance sheet and income statement, but also “a full and complete accounting of all trust activities and operations for the year.” Most concerning is that the legislation would be retroactive to Jan. 1, 2021.

One month after the introduction of the STEP ACT, President Biden unveiled “The American Families Plan.” This proposal was an expanded version of a plan he campaigned on called “The Biden Plan for Education Beyond High School,” that was unveiled in October 2019. This proposal provided additional education past high school like his campaign plan, but also assistance with the cost of early childhood education, assistance with child care, 12 weeks of paid family and medical leave, and extending the recently expanded child tax credit. Both in office and while campaigning, he proposed to pay for it in part by eliminating the basis step-upf ro real estate and stocks.

The Biden Green Book was released one month after The American Families Plan was released, and it gives further detail to how this change would actually operate. Like all proposals in the Green Book, there are three sections to it: 1) a summary of current law, 2) the reason for changing current law and 3) the actual proposed change. As it relates to the summary of current law and the reason for change, the text of the Biden proposal is substantially the same as the Obama Green Book proposals. As for the proposed change, the Biden proposal builds off of the Obama proposal by taking parts of it verbatim but also adding more details of the mechanics of implementation of this new regime and creating even more recognition events. Like the Obama proposal, gifts and transfers at death would be recognition events. However, recognition events not included in the Obama proposal but included in the STEP Act were in the Biden proposal, specifically the recognition of gain on transfers to and from trusts as well as a periodic recognition of gain for assets held in trusts reaching a maximum holding period.

Operation of Tax on Death and Gift

Event-triggering gain: Gifts, bequests and transfers of appreciated property into, or distributed in kind from, trusts (other than revocable, wholly owned grantor trusts) and partnerships will be treated as recognition events for the donor or donor’s estate. The STEP Act is similar but does address transfers into and out of partnerships and is more nuanced with regard to grantor trusts as detailed below.

Exclusions:

    • Tangible property: Tangible personal property (other than collectibles) isn’t treated as being sold.
    • General exclusion: Biden’s proposal provides a $1 million per-person exclusion from gain. This amount is portable to a surviving spouse using the same rules for portability of the gift and estate tax purposes and would be indexed for inflation. Both the Obama proposal and the STEP Act permit only $100,000 of the $1 million per-person exclusion to be applied to lifetime transfers.
    • Principal residence: In addition to general exclusion, the Biden proposal would allow for the exclusion of up to $250,000 of gain per taxpayer on the sale of a principal residence that’s currently allowed under IRC Section 121. This $250,000 would also be portable to the surviving spouse for transfers at death. Although the exclusion is currently portable for up to two years after the date of death under Section 121(b)(4), presumably the Biden proposal would allow the portable nature to be indefinite. The section-by-section explanation of the STEP Act confirms that the exclusion for principal residences is intended to apply.
    • Qualified small business stock (QSBS): The Biden proposal confirms that the exclusion currently available on QSBS would also apply. The STEP Act doesn’t explicitly address this exclusion.
    • Losses: With respect to transfers at death, losses are available to offset gain under the Biden proposal and STEP Act.

Exempt Transferees:

    • Surviving spouse: Under the Biden proposal, transfers at death to a “U.S. spouse” wouldn’t be a recognition event with the decedent’s tax basis carrying over to the surviving spouse. The proposal uses the term decedent without including a blanket exemption for lifetime transfers to U.S. spouses, whereas both the Obama proposal and STEP Act would also exempt such transfers. There’s no indication this is anything more than an oversight as indirect transfers from a revocable grantor trust to a U.S. spouse are excepted. The Biden proposal doesn’t define the term “U.S. spouse” though the STEP Act does so with reference to both U.S. citizens and long-term permanent residents, including transfers outright and to marital-deduction-qualifying trusts.
    • Charity: The Biden proposal similarly exempts transfers from decedents to charity. As with transfers to U.S. spouses, this presumably is intended to apply to transfers to charity during the donor’s lifetime as well. That’s the case with Obama’s proposal and the STEP Act. Both Biden’s proposal and the STEP Act apply gain recognition on a proportionate basis for split-interest charitable trusts (that is, lead and remainder trusts). Neither addresses the scenario in which the grantor (or a U.S. spouse) retains the other interest, as is often the case with a charitable remainder trust.

Donee’s basis: An interesting modification to the Obama proposal found in Biden’s is what the basis in the property is for transfers subject to a recognition event. Presumably, if there’s a recognition event then the donee’s basis should be the fair market value (FMV) at the time of recognition. That’s the case for transfers at death and the recipient of the property receives an adjusted basis even if no tax was ultimately owed because of the $1 million exemption. However, for lifetime gifts, the Biden proposal doesn’t provide a basis adjustment for property shielded from recognition by the $1 million exclusion and the donor’s basis will carry over. The STEP Act doesn’t draw this distinction.

Deferral: The Biden proposal allows for a 15-year payment plan on the tax liability for all nonliquid assets, which is the same as the Obama proposal and allows more assets to qualify for this deferral when compared with the current estate tax deferral method under IRC Section 6166 that applies only to closely held businesses. Speaking of closely held businesses, the Biden proposal allows for an indefinite deferral for family-owned and operated businesses that will be due only  when it’s no longer family-owned and operated, which was also part of the Obama proposal. The STEP Act includes a version of the 15-year deferral with acceleration provisions similar to deferral under Section 6166, but it doesn’t include an extended or indefinite deferral for family-owned and operated businesses.

Valuation: The Biden proposal contains a valuation rule not found in the Obama proposal or STEP Act. While the FMV for recognition purposes will be the same value used for estate and gift tax purposes, “a transferred partial interest would be its proportional share of the fair market value of the entire property.” In other words, there won ‘t be an opportunity to apply appropriate valuation discounts when transferring minority interests, potentially creating a disconnect for gift and estate and income tax purposes.

Reporting: The Biden proposal would require these deemed recognition events be reported on the donor’s gift tax return or decedent’s estate tax return, or potentially on a separate capital gains return.

Effective date: The Biden proposal is calling for these gain recognition provisions to apply for all gifts and deaths occurring in 2022 or later. This is later than the STEP Act, which would have the provisions be retroactive to Jan. 1, 2021.

Deemed Recognition Events for Grantor Trusts

While the Biden proposal doesn’t directly attack the transfer tax regime, it would curtail the benefits and flexibility of planning with intentionally defective grantor trusts (IDGTs). Estate planners know that a benefit of an IDGT is that the property that’s outside the taxpayer’s gross estate can grow income tax free during the grantor’s life as the grantor pays the income tax liability on the trust’s earnings. That benefit remains unchanged by the Biden Green Book. However, the flexibility of IDGTs stemming from the treatment of transactions between the grantor as nonrecognition events because the grantor and trust are considered the same for income tax purposes as set out in Revenue Ruling 85-13 will be impacted. President Biden’s proposal captures these transfers as recognition events. This proposal is different from the Obama proposals, which sought to attack the use of IDGTs through other means, but is consistent with the STEP Act.

Biden’s proposal excepts only grantor trusts that are wholly owned and revocable by the grantor. By contrast, the STEP Act doesn’t trigger gain on transfers to grantor trusts that would be included in the estate of the grantor immediately after the transfer, which should include, for example, grantor retained annuity trusts and qualified personal residence trusts. For such trusts, the STEP Act provides that trust assets are treated as transferred for purposes of the gain recognition rules on any date that: (1) a grantor trust becomes a nongrantor trust, (2) property is distributed to someone other than the grantor and (3) the property would no longer be included in the grantor’s estate. Conceivably, this could result in multiple recognition events on the same assets.

A New GST Income Tax

Various Democratic tax proposals have taken aim at the use of what are referred to as “dynasty trusts.” A dynasty trust is one that is GST tax exempt and has a long or indefinite perpetuities period. Neither state law nor the bite of transfer taxes will bring these trusts to an end. President Obama’s proposals called for GST tax exempt trusts to lose their exempt status 90 years after the creation of the trust. Sen. Sander’s For the 99.5% Act and Sen. Warren’s American Housing Economic Mobility Act of 2021 call for the exemption to be lost after 50 years. President Biden’s proposal doesn’t attack the GST tax exempt status of a trust, but instead provides for an income recognition event, stating “[g]ain on unrealized appreciation also would be recognized by a trust… that is the owner of property if that property has not been the subject of a recognition event within the prior 90 years…” The STEP Act has a similar provision; however, this recognition event would occur every 21 years and apply to all property irrespective of its holding period. President Biden’s proposal would start counting 90 years from Jan. 1, 1940, meaning that a trust that was in existence in 1940 or earlier that has property not subject to a recognition event will have it recognized no later than Dec. 31, 2030 (90 years after Jan. 1, 1940). For trusts with assets that are regularly sold, this proposal won’t cause much of a tax issue. However, for trusts that hold real estate or closely held businesses, this could create a substantial liability that could prevent the wealth being passed down largely intact through multiple generations.

Conclusion

It’s just another set of proposals in a near evenly divided Congress. For all the talk of potential retroactive gift taxes, elimination of GRATs and other transfer tax proposals, it’s welcome news that they aren’t in Biden’s Green Book. This could be a strategic decision of where to deploy political capital given the transfer tax exemption will decrease on its own in 2026. The impact of President Biden’s proposal would be much more widely felt. This is especially true for clients living in states without estate taxes but with an income tax—as this proposal could effectively create a state level death tax.

If (major emphasis on if) it comes to pass, it will have an impact on investment decisions as holding assets in anticipation of a basis step-up will no longer be a factor and it could also give rise to thinking about the allocation of the tax liability among beneficiaries.

 

COVID Update

 

New cases:

 

 

Daily completed vaccinations:

 

 

Vaccination uptake:

 

 

Wall Street veteran Bob Farrell’s 10 rules on investing

 

 


The Real Estate Market

 

There is more equity value in homes today then in 2007. 87% of homes have at least 20% equity value (80% of the value is mortgaged). 37% of homes have no mortgage debt at all. This is not an underwater inflated housing market like ’07. We are bullish on the U.S. housing market as long as mortgage rates are below 4.5%.

  • Just to give you some perspective, everyone and anyone who’s alive knows that the housing market’s red hot. But what I wanted to give you some perspective re: looking at the number of sales, what we call absorptions per community for builders.
  • Over half of builders’ communities are actually limiting sales because they cannot keep up with demand, and their backlogs are getting very extended.
  • Our forecast is that we’ll continue to see double-digit growth in ’21. And in ’22, we’ll still see very strong absolute growth, but we do know based on what’s in development and how much backlog and challenges and constraints there are, that it’s just not going to be possible for them to bring in more communities at a faster rate.
  • So, the builders are very challenged to get their orders converted for their customers, and there’s a lot of frustration. In fact, many builders don’t even want to do dirt sales. They call it dirt sales because they write a contract, let’s say, for a half a million dollars. But then when that house closes, call it in 18 months from now, they’re going to have significant risk of their costs rising. And in fact, costs are rising at a spectacular rate. Talk about inflation. There’s inflation across the entire ecosystem.
  • We’d be focused more on the tertiary markets. I think that direct investments with builders right now that are looking for less expensive capital than bank capital is a good opportunity. And I would say where they focus and where they should focus is in the areas in the country where household growth is the greatest.
  • Target markets with the strongest household growth: DC, Utah, Texas, Nevada, Florida, Idaho, Arizona, North Dakota, Colorado, South Carolina.
  • We are constructive on the Sun Belt multi-family markets, especially where there are suburban areas with little current supply.

 

US Economy

 

  • Consumer spending is back in line with the pre-COVID trend.
  • Initial jobless claims continue to trend lower.
  • With multiple states ending their emergency unemployment programs shortly, continuing claims will be shrinking rapidly.
  • Pending home sales weakened in April as buyers balk at sky-high prices
  • The May Chicago PMI measure hit a record high (well ahead of forecasts), signaling extraordinarily strong business activity in the Midwest region. May probably marked the peak for this index.
  • The Kansas City regional manufacturing index is also off the highs but still exceptionally robust.
  • Manufacturers are upbeat about the next six months.
  • Price pressures continue to build.
  • But supplier bottlenecks seem to be easing.
  • Two-thirds of Americans think that the worst of the pandemic is “behind us.”
  • The ISM Manufacturing PMI continues to show rapid expansion in US factory activity.
  • US manufacturers are struggling to keep up as customers’ inventories shrink.
  • Factories face two headwinds – worsening supply-chain bottlenecks and worker shortages.
  • manufacturers are rapidly boosting output prices
  • The Citi Inflation Surprise Index hit a record high.
  • The Fed’s Beige Book report shows rapidly improving economic conditions
  • Businesses increasingly face shortages of materials and labor.
  • US auto sales are off the highs.
  • The number of seated diners at US restaurants is back at pre-COVID levels.
  • Wage costs have been rebounding faster than payrolls.
  • The US is the only OECD country with a positive post-COVID near-term GDP revision (largely due to the massive stimulus).
  • Mortgage applications to purchase a home have lost momentum.
  • Refinancing activity has been slowing as well, especially for transactions that don’t involve taking out equity.
  • According to CoreLogic, home price appreciation is peaking.
  • The ADP private payrolls report showed a gain of almost a million new jobs in May. That was well above forecasts.
  • Strong job gains could put QE taper in play earlier than expected. Bond yields and the dollar climbed, while gold sold off.
  • Economists think that the ADP figure is overstating payroll gains.
  • Initial jobless claims continue to trend lower.
  • Continuing claims are moving down as well, but there are still more than 15 million Americans receiving unemployment benefits.
  • However, according to Oxford Economics, “roughly 4.1 million individuals will lose access to emergency unemployment benefits over the coming month” (an income cliff).
  • The ISM Services PMI remains exceptionally strong as the service-sector activity accelerates.
  • Inventories are dwindling rapidly amid supplier delays while prices are surging.
  • Worker shortages are becoming a drag on hiring.
  • CEO confidence points to further gains in business investment.
  • Oxford Economics expects productivity growth to rebound in the coming years, accounting for two-thirds of long-run GDP growth by 2025.
  • Chase card data indicate robust consumer spending last month.

 

Thought of the Week

 

Top 5 Wishes from People in Hospice

  1. I wish I had the courage to live a life true to myself and not the life others expected of me.
  2. I wish I hadn’t spent so much time at work.
  3. I wish I had the courage to express my feelings.
  4. I wish I had stayed in touch with my friends.
  5. I wish I had allowed myself to be happier.

 

Picture of the Week

 

 

 

All content is the opinion of Brian J. Decker